{"id":62937,"date":"2010-03-11T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2010-03-11T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news-draft\/uncategorized\/increased-computer-capacity-to-enable-uri-scientist-to-develop-improved-hurricane-intensity-prediction-model\/"},"modified":"2010-03-11T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"2010-03-11T00:00:00","slug":"increased-computer-capacity-to-enable-uri-scientist-to-develop-improved-hurricane-intensity-prediction-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/2010\/03\/increased-computer-capacity-to-enable-uri-scientist-to-develop-improved-hurricane-intensity-prediction-model\/","title":{"rendered":"Increased computer capacity to enable 溏心vlog免费B站 scientist to develop improved hurricane intensity prediction model"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n\t\tGrants awarded from NOAA, NOPP<\/p>\n


\nNARRAGANSETT, R.I. \u2013 March 11, 2010 — Past efforts to develop the most accurate hurricane prediction models have been hampered by a lack of adequate computer power to run the models. <\/p>\n


\nA new $20 million project funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration aims to rectify that issue, and a 溏心vlog免费B站 scientist expects that one result will be a significant improvement in forecasters\u2019 ability to predict the intensity of severe storms.<\/p>\n


\n\u201cThe development of the next generation of hurricane prediction models will be fundamentally different from those in the past because no longer will we be faced with limited computational capabilities,\u201d said Isaac Ginis, a professor at the 溏心vlog免费B站 Graduate School of Oceanography whose coupled air-sea models have been among the most accurate hurricane prediction models used by the National Hurricane Center over the last decade. <\/p>\n


\n\u201cSince the National Hurricane Center uses several models to create its forecasts, each model must be able to run on a computer in one hour for it to be useful. In the past this has been a major limitation,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n


\nGinis said that a powerful new supercomputer recently became available at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., that will enable scientists to develop more accurate models.<\/p>\n


\n\u201cIn order to simulate a real hurricane, we must factor in wind speeds and air and sea temperatures and other data at certain locations, and the smaller the distance is between those locations the more accurate the model will be,\u201d Ginis explained. \u201cCurrently, the spatial resolution is about 10 kilometers, but the optimal resolution is 1 to 2 kilometers or less, which would require a huge increase in computer resources.\u201d<\/p>\n


\nNOAA\u2019s Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project will provide the necessary computer resources while also funding the development of new hurricane intensity models by the leading hurricane scientists in the nation. The project will provide Ginis with about $300,000 per year to continue his research.<\/p>\n


\nGinis was the first scientist to demonstrate the significant role the ocean plays in the formation, path and intensity of hurricanes. Using data collected from aircraft, satellites and ocean buoys, his models significantly improved hurricane predictions in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico in the last decade.<\/p>\n


\nThe new supercomputer will also enable Ginis and other hurricane scientists to factor in additional physical processes into their models, like the effect that sea surface waves and sea spray droplets have on storm intensity.<\/p>\n


\n\u201cHeat from the ocean makes a storm more intense, and friction from waves makes a storm weaker, so to predict hurricane intensity we must calculate the heat and the waves,\u201d Ginis said \u201cCurrent models frequently overestimate the intensity of weak hurricanes and underestimate the intensity of strong hurricanes because they don\u2019t accurately predict waves and sea spray generated by wave breaking.\u201d<\/p>\n


\nIn addition to funding from the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, Ginis and colleagues from 10 other institutions have been awarded a $2.1 million grant from the National Oceanographic Partnership Program to create an air-sea interface software module that will allow hurricane prediction models to be used by the U.S Navy, NOAA and private organizations with an interest in hurricane forecasting. The 溏心vlog免费B站 share of the grant is $610,000.<\/p>\n


\nThe program is a partnership of government agencies, academic institutions, and private organizations to support research that can be applied to commercial and government uses. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Grants awarded from NOAA, NOPP NARRAGANSETT, R.I. \u2013 March 11, 2010 — Past efforts to develop the most accurate hurricane prediction models have been hampered by a lack of adequate computer power to run the models. A new $20 million project funded by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration aims to rectify that […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-62937","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-archives"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62937","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=62937"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/62937\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=62937"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=62937"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.uri.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=62937"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}